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David Berlind's Reality Check
By David Berlind
November 24, 2003
It used to be that separating the wheat from the chaff at a show like Comdex was like looking for needle in a haystack the size of Siberia. While the square footage of the show changed for the worse, one thing didn't change: the best new technology was hiding in the smallest booths. My personal vote for the best of Comdex goes to ScreenCam-esque tool provider Qarbon (see story), IDE-based RAID on the cheap maker NetCell (see story), and retractable cable maker Cables Unlimited.
Bluetooth!? Who needs Bluetooth when you've got Zip-Linq?
This Fall's fall guy: The hard drive in IBM's T41p survives a spill, but... With the production crew for CNET's series of Webcasts in tow, I asked IBM officials if we could see the technology in action. With the cameras rolling and without giving it a second thought, IBM's ThinkPad T Series marketing manager Laura Seay subjected the $3,300 T41p to a five-foot drop onto a scantily carpeted floor. Sure enough, the hard drive appeared to function just fine after a slight pause to catch its breath. But after the cameras stopped rolling and as we were on our way to find the next cool mobile technology (it was a one-handed keyboard, it became clear that while the hard drive managed the impact with aplomb, the T41p's case did not. Seay was seen holding several small pieces that appeared to have broken off the case. At least one of the ports on the back of the T41p appeared a little worse for the wear as well. Later during Comdex, I asked HP's Alex Gruzen if his company had a notebook that could top that. Gruzen replied, "How many people do you know that walk around with their notebook computers in the on position [about the only time the hard drive's heads aren't parked] waiting to be dropped?" Gruzen has a point. Most of the time, when you're carrying a regular notebook, the computer is either off, hibernating, or in standby mode--ll of which equate to already-parked hard drive heads. "But what about for tablet computers?" I wondered. Oh yeah, IBM doesn't have a tablet. Yet.
With expected actual throughput rates of 100-130 kbps, EDGE is the next evolutionary step for AT&T Wireless' GPRS network; other GPRS-providers such as T-Mobile and Cingular are likely to follow. The move puts pressure on providers such as SprintPCS and Verizon, whose networks are based on the prevailing GSM/GPRS alternative CDMA 1xRTT which, at a tolerable 70-80 kbps of actual throughput, was the faster of the two technologies. But don't expect the CDMA Cellco's to sit idly by. Verizon is already conducting a two-city (San Diego and Washington, D.C.) trial of CDMA 1xEVDO, a 1xRTT follow-on that's expected to deliver an average throughput of 400 kbps thereby rivaling most cable and DSL modems. As I've said before, my expectation is that many of you Wi-Fi hotspot lovers and seekers will ditch those 802.11 cards when you figure out that, with CDMA (and now GPRS EDGE), you don't have to go looking for a hotspot and the performance is actually acceptable for most applications. Meanwhile, with AT&T Wireless attacking SprintPCS on its left flank, SprintPCS went after Nextel with the introduction of its own Push To Talk (PTT) walkie-talkie service. Last week, I took a wild guess that Nextel's loss of its stranglehold on the PTT market could force it to ditch the iDEN network in favor of GSM/GPRS or CDMA 1xRTT (my bet is on the latter). Nextel officials argued that the other PTT implementations aren't that good and that catching up to Nextel would be difficult. But, while at Comdex, I tried SprintPCS' PTT service and I thought it worked just fine.
Goons will be goons
And finally, the most important news from Las Vegas
You can write to me at david.berlind@cnet.com. If you're looking for my commentaries on other IT topics, check the archives.
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